Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.000739 0.000845 0.000956 0.001083 0.001223 0.001372 0.001542
2025-03-30 0.000575 0.000720 0.000885 0.001084 0.001317 0.001578 0.001893
2025-04-06 0.000481 0.000642 0.000833 0.001073 0.001366 0.001705 0.002127
2025-04-13 0.000404 0.000573 0.000781 0.001054 0.001396 0.001806 0.002329
2025-04-20 0.000364 0.000541 0.000770 0.001078 0.001474 0.001961 0.002595
2025-04-27 0.000327 0.000511 0.000755 0.001093 0.001539 0.002099 0.002841
2025-05-04 0.000287 0.000470 0.000722 0.001081 0.001566 0.002186 0.003023
2025-05-11 0.000250 0.000430 0.000686 0.001060 0.001578 0.002252 0.003179
2025-05-18 0.000229 0.000411 0.000676 0.001074 0.001635 0.002378 0.003412
2025-05-25 0.000207 0.000388 0.000660 0.001077 0.001676 0.002482 0.003617
2025-06-01 0.000179 0.000353 0.000621 0.001044 0.001664 0.002512 0.003725
2025-06-08 0.000155 0.000321 0.000586 0.001013 0.001653 0.002542 0.003830
2025-06-15 0.000140 0.000302 0.000570 0.001011 0.001683 0.002631 0.004020
2025-06-22 0.000126 0.000285 0.000556 0.001011 0.001716 0.002723 0.004217
2025-06-29 0.000113 0.000267 0.000536 0.001001 0.001733 0.002793 0.004383
2025-07-06 0.000099 0.000247 0.000513 0.000982 0.001736 0.002841 0.004517
2025-07-13 0.000093 0.000241 0.000515 0.001005 0.001802 0.002982 0.004787
2025-07-20 0.000087 0.000234 0.000512 0.001019 0.001855 0.003106 0.005035
2025-07-27 0.000077 0.000219 0.000494 0.001007 0.001866 0.003167 0.005191
2025-08-03 0.000068 0.000203 0.000473 0.000988 0.001864 0.003206 0.005316
2025-08-10 0.000063 0.000197 0.000471 0.001001 0.001914 0.003327 0.005562
2025-08-17 0.000058 0.000188 0.000463 0.001004 0.001948 0.003421 0.005772
2025-08-24 0.000050 0.000171 0.000437 0.000973 0.001923 0.003425 0.005844